Charting the Future: Identifying the Next Great College Football Coaches
The landscape of college football is in a perpetual state of flux, with coaching changes a common occurrence. As programs seek to elevate their status, the search for the next transformative leader is a constant endeavor. This article delves into the potential candidates who possess the qualities and track records to become the next great college football coaches, analyzing their strengths, potential drawbacks, and the strategic considerations involved in their recruitment. The discussion is informed by current trends, existing coaching talent, and the evolving demands of modern college football, including roster management and the impact of the transfer portal.
The Emerging Elite: Current Head Coaches in Consideration
The identification of potential future coaching stars begins with an examination of individuals currently at the helm of collegiate programs. These coaches have demonstrated success, built programs, and navigated the complexities of recruiting and player development. Several names repeatedly surface in discussions about who might be the next big hire, each bringing a unique set of skills and experiences to the table.
James Franklin stands out as a proven program builder and winner, with a significant track record at Penn State. His ability to consistently develop talent and compete at a high level is well-documented. However, a notable con in his profile is his near-consistent losses to Ohio State and Michigan, a challenge for any coach aiming for the pinnacle of the Big Ten. Despite this, his availability has been noted, making him a prime candidate for programs seeking immediate impact. The recent news of Penn State parting ways with Franklin and his subsequent hiring by Virginia Tech highlights the dynamic nature of these coaching searches, demonstrating that even established figures can be on the move.
Marcus Freeman, currently at Notre Dame, is another intriguing prospect. Rumors suggest he may not be entirely comfortable with the academic recruiting hurdles at Notre Dame, potentially opening the door for other programs. His name has been linked to Penn State, and his potential availability is a significant talking point. Freeman is seen by some as a coach who is only scratching the surface of his potential as a head coach, and securing him would be considered an "awesome get." The primary pathway to him being "gettable" would be if these academic restraints truly pose an issue for his recruiting strategy. While it's a long shot, making him acknowledge his interest is a crucial first step.
Lane Kiffin, known for his offensive prowess and ability to generate excitement, is a name that consistently appears when major programs have openings. Both Florida and LSU have been mentioned as potential suitors, especially if their respective head coaching positions become available. Kiffin has a history of revitalizing programs and making them competitive, though his defensive acumen and overall program stability have sometimes been questioned. His recent move to LSU after a successful tenure at Ole Miss, where he secured a College Football Playoff berth and set program records, underscores his ability to achieve significant results. He will not coach Ole Miss's CFP game, a testament to the swiftness of these transitions.
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Lincoln Riley, despite the rumors that he may not be happy living in Los Angeles and that a move elsewhere is possible, remains a highly coveted coach. His offensive schemes are legendary, and his ability to develop quarterbacks is unparalleled. The prospect of him moving is often linked to his current situation at USC, where he is reportedly experiencing dissatisfaction with his current environment. His teams consistently achieve a high level of success, often projected to finish around 9-3, which, while excellent, might not meet the championship aspirations of the most demanding programs.
Eli Drinkwitz of Missouri has generated considerable interest, particularly from Florida and LSU, should those opportunities arise. He is recognized for his ability to win games consistently at a program that, arguably, shouldn't be achieving such success in the highly competitive SEC. His current record, potentially slipping to 5-4 after facing tough opponents, indicates the challenging nature of his role, but also his resilience.
Rhett Lashlee, currently at SMU, represents a potentially seamless transition for programs that might have existing coaching staff connections. He has a strong relationship with Gus Malzahn and is reportedly happy at SMU. However, the allure of a higher ceiling at a program like Florida State compared to SMU is a significant factor. His alma mater is also reportedly calling, suggesting broader interest in his coaching abilities.
Manny Diaz, an alum with a defensive background, is considered a realistic option by some. He brings valuable experience and has a reputation for building strong defenses. His ability to recruit in key areas like Florida and South Georgia, combined with his connection to the university as an alumnus, makes him a compelling candidate for programs seeking a familiar face with a strong defensive identity. His "Manny-crush" is noted by some observers, indicating a segment of the fanbase that views him favorably.
Jeff Brohm, a Louisville alum, is another coach who might not be readily available. He has achieved success at both Purdue and Louisville, demonstrating his capability to win in the Big Ten and ACC. His connection to his alma mater makes him seem like a perfect fit, suggesting a strong desire to lead the program where he played.
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Kenny Dillingham, also an alum returning to his alma mater, presents a similar profile to Brohm. While his interest in returning East is uncertain, his connection to the university and his growing coaching acumen make him a candidate worth considering.
Dan Mullen, despite the fact that he "can win and knows what it takes to recruit big in Florida," is a more complex consideration. His history of success in recruiting within the state is undeniable, but his overall tenure and program management at previous stops have drawn scrutiny.
Emerging Stars and Under-the-Radar Prospects
Beyond the established names, the coaching landscape is always on the lookout for rising stars and coaches who can maximize the talent they have. The discussion also includes coaches who might be considered a "reach" but possess the potential for significant impact.
Jon Sumrall has emerged as a top choice for some, with his impressive work at Tulane. Leading the Green Wave to a 10-2 record and contention for a College Football Playoff berth in his second season is a remarkable achievement. His ability to elevate a program quickly makes him a highly attractive candidate. The narrative around him suggests he is a prime target for Florida, with a strong possibility of him moving to UF rather than other programs.
Alex Golesh, who led South Florida to a 9-3 record and significant offensive production, is another coach gaining traction. His ability to revitalize a struggling program and implement a high-powered offense, averaging 43 points per game, is noteworthy. However, one perspective views him as "just Mike Norvell 2.0," suggesting a potential concern about his ceiling or style of play.
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Will Stein, a Louisville alum and former offensive coordinator at Oregon, has been tapped by Kentucky. His transition from a successful offensive coordinator role to a head coaching position signifies a belief in his ability to lead and develop a program.
Eric Morris, known for his ties to the Mike Leach and Kliff Kingsbury coaching tree, has built North Texas into a competitive program within the American Conference and the Group of Five. His hire at Oklahoma State marks a historic moment for the program, as they have not hired a sitting FBS head coach since 1969.
JaMarcus Shephard, currently an assistant head coach and wide receivers coach at Alabama under Kalen DeBoer, is a rising name. His experience with successful programs at Alabama and Washington, coupled with his offensive background, positions him as a strong candidate for future head coaching opportunities.
Bob Chesney, who has achieved a 20-5 record in two seasons at James Madison, including an 11-1 mark and playoff contention, is proving his ability to build a winning culture. His success in turning around programs is a key selling point.
Strategic Considerations in the Coaching Search
The process of identifying and securing a new head coach is fraught with strategic considerations, particularly in the modern era of college football. The transfer portal and the NCAA's evolving rules significantly influence hiring decisions and the timing of coaching changes.
A crucial factor influencing the timing of coaching changes is roster management and the transfer portal window. As noted, "Guys can enter the portal and sit down when you fire a coach… even mid-season." This reality necessitates careful planning to avoid losing valuable players. The ideal scenario involves delaying any firing until the season's end, allowing the program to secure its next coach and then leverage that new leadership to retain key players from the current roster. The idea is that a new coach, already in place (though not publicly announced), can begin recruiting the desired players from the junior, sophomore, and freshman classes. Furthermore, if the new coach wishes to retain existing assistant coaches, such as Gus or White, it could further aid in keeping the desired players on the roster.
The 30-day rule regarding the transfer portal has also seen changes. It was previously understood that the portal would open upon the departure of a head coach, but this rule was reportedly changed on October 8th. This alteration means the portal no longer automatically opens when a coach is fired, providing more strategic flexibility for athletic departments.
The cost of hiring is another significant factor. The "price tag for this list is substantial," indicating that athletic departments must be prepared to invest heavily in their next head coach. This financial commitment underscores the importance of making the right choice, as a misstep can be costly both financially and in terms of program momentum.
Furthermore, the proven record in a Power Five conference is often a prerequisite for top-tier coaching positions. While coaches can achieve success at Group of Five or lower-tier Power Five schools, the ability to consistently win against the nation's elite programs is a critical benchmark.
Evaluating Potential Fits and Unconventional Options
The discussion around potential candidates also touches upon unconventional choices and the subjective nature of evaluating coaching talent.
The question of whether certain coaches would "make the cut" if other high-profile jobs opened, such as at Kelly or Dabo's programs, highlights the tiering of coaching desirability. Similarly, the notion that "we don't actually know what is real and what isn't real" suggests that interest in candidates can be surprisingly varied, with individuals sometimes being considered for roles that seem improbable.
The mention of Jon Gruden as a potential hire, albeit with a humorous undertone, points to the extreme measures some programs might consider in their quest for a high-profile coach, even if unconventional.
The evaluation of Fran Brown and Clark Lea as potential candidates also arises. Brown's record at Syracuse, with a 3-4 overall record and a 1-3 mark in the ACC, raises questions about his readiness for a more demanding role. Lea, a Vanderbilt alum from Nashville, is also mentioned, though his specific fit for certain programs might be debated.
The idea of "getting more out of less talent" is a common metric in coaching evaluations. However, this perspective is challenged by the argument that a head coach's role inherently involves recruiting, retaining, and developing players. Punishing coaches like Sarkisian for building a superior roster and developing exceptional talent is seen as counterproductive. Sarkisian's journey, from being ranked as the eighth-best coach in the Big 12 to consistently climbing the ranks, exemplifies the dynamic and often underestimated trajectory of coaching careers.
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